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Market Brief

Market Brief: Thursday, November 5, 2026

Start-of-day AI compute market report.

Published Monday through Friday with the prior day’s source-backed signals across GPU pricing, cloud capacity, power constraints, data centers, and AI infrastructure. Track the prior day’s source-backed news and changes shaping GPU supply, cloud availability, power constraints, data centers, and compute market pressure.

Market Brief

Morning Tape

Report date
Thursday, November 5, 2026
  • Sempra expects 20% increase to Oncor’s capex plan, driven by load growth
  • Entergy sees progress on Arkansas data center deal, strong Q3 sales
  • Google announces $17bn data center campus in Cheyenne, Wyoming

Today in Compute College

Lesson & Term of the Day

Today's lesson

How to compare model quality vs cost

Learn how to compare AI model benchmark performance with token pricing, latency, throughput, and cost per useful result. Why it matters today: Today's lesson connects the Model Benchmarks & AI Compute Economics track to the compute market readers are watching.

Term of the Day

Curtailable load

Curtailable load is electricity demand that can be reduced or disconnected under agreed conditions. A data center accepting those terms may have different access options from one requiring uninterrupted grid service. A facility may agree to reduce its grid draw during system stress, then use backup power or pause suitable work.

Market signals

Compute market signals

H100 IndexWhat it costs to rent one H100 GPU for an hour on demand — the market’s anchor price.

Value
$5.42 / H100-hr
Last Price Change
Nov 9, 2026

Spot Compute PriceThe cheaper, interruptible GPU price — a read on whether spare capacity is available.

Value
$2.46 / H100e-hourH100e-hour means an H100-equivalent GPU hour, a normalized unit used to compare different GPUs and providers.
Last Price Change
May 27, 2026

Model Serving CostRoughly what it costs to run a model and generate its output at scale, per million tokens.

Value
$2.78 / 1M tokens
Last Price Change
Aug 8, 2026

GPU AvailabilityHow easy or hard it is to actually get GPU capacity right now, scored 0–100.

Value
83 / 100 score
Last change
Sep 17, 2026

Signals

Top market signals

These are the highest-impact source-backed items behind this morning’s brief.

Nov 6, 2026

Sempra expects 20% increase to Oncor’s capex plan, driven by load growth

The source for “Sempra expects 20% increase to Oncor’s capex plan, driven by load growth” does not yet establish a supported change in compute supply, demand, price, availability, power delivery, financing, or deployment timing.

Nov 5, 2026

Entergy sees progress on Arkansas data center deal, strong Q3 sales

The project described in “Entergy sees progress on Arkansas data center deal, strong Q3 sales” adds prospective compute capacity, but permitting, power procurement, construction, and deployment timing prevent it from increasing immediately available GPU supply.

Nov 6, 2026

Google announces $17bn data center campus in Cheyenne, Wyoming

The project described in “Google announces $17bn data center campus in Cheyenne, Wyoming” adds prospective compute capacity, but permitting, power procurement, construction, and deployment timing prevent it from increasing immediately available GPU supply.

Nov 9, 2026

Lambda to build new data center in Lowndes County, Alabama, investing more than $33 billion in state

The project described in “Lambda to build new data center in Lowndes County, Alabama, investing more than $33 billion in state” adds prospective compute capacity, but permitting, power procurement, construction, and deployment timing prevent it from increasing immediately available GPU supply.

Nov 6, 2026

SpaceXAI plans data center in Arizona, Musk's firm claims it will have 6GW capacity

The project described in “SpaceXAI plans data center in Arizona, Musk's firm claims it will have 6GW capacity” adds prospective compute capacity, but permitting, power procurement, construction, and deployment timing prevent it from increasing immediately available GPU supply.

Power & Data Center Watch

  • Sempra expects 20% increase to Oncor’s capex plan, driven by load growth (Utility Dive).
  • Google announces $17bn data center campus in Cheyenne, Wyoming (Data Center Dynamics).
  • Lambda to build new data center in Lowndes County, Alabama, investing more than $33 billion in state (Lambda Blog).

Market report

Latest GPU pricing report

For a durable pricing artifact, use the monthly report rather than a single Market Brief issue.

H100 GPU Pricing Report: September 2026

Canonical CT-H100 median, reviewed H100 provider rows, freshness dates, and composition caveats in one citable report.

Recent Briefs

Brief archive

Use the archive to move between dated Market Brief issues without relying on the sitemap.